Universidad Católica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
IVT
1 - 3
UCE
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
UCE
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 0
TEC
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
TEC
4 - 5
UCE
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
UCE
1 - 2
IVT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 0
UCE
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BSC
1 - 1
LIG
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 0
BSC
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 0
LIG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |