Universidad Católica vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 0
UCE
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 1
MUS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
2 - 1
IVT
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UCE
0 - 3
EME
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
EME
0 - 2
LIG
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LOJ
2 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 0
QUI
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |