Universidad Católica vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 2
UCE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UCE
3 - 1
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 3
UCE
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
UCE
0 - 4
EME
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
LIG
2 - 1
UCE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
3 - 0
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BSC
2 - 5
IVT
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
IVT
0 - 0
QUI
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
IVT
2 - 1
LOJ
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
IVT
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |