Univ. Concepción vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
COQ
2 - 2
UNI
31%
25%
45%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 3
DEP
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
COB
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |