Univ. Concepción vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 4
EVE
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
USF
1 - 0
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
CRZ
5 - 0
UCO
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 1
JAG
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
IRA
0 - 3
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
SNL
73%
16%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 1
CFC
65%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |