Univ. Concepción vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CSL
1 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 4
UCO
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UCO
2 - 1
ANT
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
OHI
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
UCH
0 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ULC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CSL
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SWA
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |