Univ. Concepción vs Puerto Montt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
3 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 5
HUA
38%
24%
39%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
UCO
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
DLS
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COB
3 - 1
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 0
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 1
IBE
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUE
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
2 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
PUE
59%
24%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |