Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
IQU
2 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 5
SWA
47%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
DLS
1 - 0
UCO
48%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 3
OHI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 0
ANT
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
CSL
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 0
PAL
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 3
UNI
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |