Univ. Concepción vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
ULC
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
HUA
2 - 5
UCO
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
38%
25%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
DLS
38%
27%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
CSL
53%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
COL
3 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 1
SWA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |