Univ. Concepción vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
DLS
0 - 0
UCO
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 3
ACS
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
UCH
4 - 2
UCO
67%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
3 - 3
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 2
HUA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
NUB
1 - 1
COB
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NUB
2 - 2
SWA
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CSL
0 - 0
NUB
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NUB
0 - 3
OHI
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 2
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |