Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/32
Global 2-5
Univ. Concepción vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
IBE
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
HUA
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 4
GUA
28%
25%
46%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |