Univ. Concepción vs Lota Schwager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
6 - 2
CDP
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
NTA
1 - 1
UCO
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
UCO
1 - 0
OHI
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 3
OVA
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
IQU
1 - 0
UCO
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lota Schwager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
1 - 1
LOT
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
CDP
0 - 1
LOT
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
LOT
2 - 1
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |