Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 3-6
Univ. Concepción vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
COL
5 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 4
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
COL
3 - 0
ANT
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2006 |
PUE
0 - 1
COL
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |