Univ. Concepción vs Cobreloa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 1
DSC
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 2
DCO
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
FVC
0 - 0
UCO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cobreloa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
COB
0 - 3
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
COB
42%
26%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CSD
4 - 0
COB
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
COB
0 - 1
DSC
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
COB
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |