U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 2
UCO
39%
24%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 2
UCO
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
DAN
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
5 - 1
BAR
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 1
ACS
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 3
NAC
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 2
IBE
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
UCO
1 - 1
DEP
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | -1 |