U. Católica vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
IND
2 - 2
UCO
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
CSD
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
0 - 2
NUB
66%
19%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UCO
7%
14%
79%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
HUA
2 - 0
UCO
54%
22%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |