U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ULC
0 - 2
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
CDM
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
CUR
2 - 4
UCO
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 1
ACS
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
OHI
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
DLS
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 3
UCH
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CDM
0 - 3
UNI
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |