U. Católica vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CSL
1 - 2
UCO
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
COB
3 - 3
UCO
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 2
UCO
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
UCO
2 - 3
SWA
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COB
4 - 2
UCO
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
IQU
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCH
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
5 - 0
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
UNI
17%
23%
61%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
NUB
81%
13%
6%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |