U. Católica vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
SWA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
1 - 1
IBE
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NUB
2 - 1
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
5 - 1
COB
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ETS
0 - 1
RIV
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 1
DAN
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |