U. Católica vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
MIL
5 - 1
UCO
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1995 |
UCH
4 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1993 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAO
52%
27%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1995 |
MIL
1 - 0
UCH
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
MIL
5 - 1
UCO
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1995 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIL
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |