U. Católica vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ANT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
USF
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 0
CAL
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
26%
24%
50%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAS
1 - 1
JUN
32%
29%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
JUN
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
JUN
30%
27%
42%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |