U. Católica vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 2
NUB
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SWA
2 - 4
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
UCO
1 - 1
CFC
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 3
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
UCH
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 3
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
3 - 1
TIG
93%
6%
1%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |