U. Católica vs Argentinos Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
CUR
64%
21%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 0
UCO
40%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
PAL
44%
26%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
NUB
0 - 1
UCO
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Argentinos Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
BAN
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ARG
2 - 0
NAC
42%
28%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SLO
1 - 1
ARG
53%
27%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ARG
0 - 0
CCS
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
COL
0 - 0
ARG
45%
29%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |