CDU Malacitano vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDM
63%
21%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CDM
3 - 1
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 2
CDM
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDM
4 - 3
CFC
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 0
CDM
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 2
CAR
30%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
LOR
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LOR
3 - 1
CFC
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CAP
1 - 0
LOR
47%
24%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOR
0 - 1
MIN
51%
22%
26%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |