Union Tornesch vs TuRa Harksheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
45
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
UTO
0 - 2
WIL
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 2
UTO
46%
20%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
WAN
2 - 3
THA
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
THA
3 - 1
BUC
59%
21%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
THA
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
THA
4 - 0
DNB
70%
16%
13%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
THA
59%
19%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |