Union Tornesch vs ETSV Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+181%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
60
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
64% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 46 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 5
DAS
9%
14%
78%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
THA
4 - 0
UTO
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 3
DAS
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
UTO
39%
22%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 2
WAN
9%
13%
78%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAL
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +6 |