Tercera RFEF - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 2-2
Union Sur Yaiza vs Portugalete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Sur Yaiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
YAI
3 - 0
PAN
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 1
YAI
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
YAI
1 - 1
LPA
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LPA
0 - 1
YAI
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
YAI
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portugalete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 2
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
BEA
39%
28%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 3
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
DAC
1 - 1
POR
29%
22%
49%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |