Belgian Pro League Normal Season Round 20

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Antwerp analysis

Union Saint-Gilloise Antwerp
86 ELO 82
3.7% Tilt 20.1%
144º General ELO ranking 155º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.5%
Union Saint-Gilloise
22.1%
Draw
20.4%
Antwerp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
Antwerp
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Saint-Gilloise
+22%
-7%
Antwerp

Points and table prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise
Their league position
Antwerp
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
11º
72
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Genk
74
77
75%
Union Saint-Gilloise
72
75
75%
Antwerp
72
72
100%
KAA Gent
57
57
100%
Club Brugge
57
57
100%
Standard de Liège
56
56
100%
KVC Westerlo
51
51
100%
Cercle Brugge
47
48
67%
Anderlecht
10º
47
47
67%
Charleroi
47
47
10º
67%
OH Leuven
11º
46
46
11º
100%
Sint-Truidense VV
12º
42
42
12º
100%
KV Mechelen
13º
38
38
13º
100%
KV Kortrijk
14º
31
31
14º
100%
KAS Eupen
15º
29
29
15º
100%
Zulte-Waregem
16º
27
28
16º
100%
KV Oostende
17º
25
25
17º
100%
RFC Seraing
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Union Saint-Gilloise
Antwerp
Play-offs for the title
100% 100%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Union Saint-Gilloise
Antwerp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Jan. 2023
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
4 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
58%
22%
20%
86 82 4 0
08 Jan. 2023
AND
Anderlecht
1 - 3
Union Saint-Gilloise
UNI
26%
24%
51%
85 81 4 +1
26 Dec. 2022
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
3 - 0
KV Oostende
OOS
76%
16%
8%
85 65 20 0
20 Dec. 2022
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
2 - 1
KV Oostende
OOS
81%
13%
6%
85 66 19 0
09 Dec. 2022
UNI
Union Saint-Gilloise
3 - 2
Angers SCO
ANG
72%
17%
11%
85 72 13 0

Matches

Antwerp
Antwerp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jan. 2023
GNK
Genk
0 - 3
Antwerp
ANT
55%
22%
23%
82 84 2 0
07 Jan. 2023
ANT
Antwerp
2 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
41%
26%
33%
81 82 1 +1
27 Dec. 2022
KVC
KVC Westerlo
3 - 3
Antwerp
ANT
42%
25%
34%
81 79 2 0
20 Dec. 2022
ANT
Antwerp
4 - 0
Standard de Liège
SDL
55%
23%
22%
81 74 7 0
13 Nov. 2022
BRU
Club Brugge
2 - 2
Antwerp
ANT
65%
20%
15%
80 88 8 +1