Union Quinto vs Delta Porto Tolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ACS
2 - 0
UNI
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
GIO
31%
25%
43%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
UNI
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 3
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
UNI
76%
16%
8%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DEL
2 - 0
NKK
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
TAM
1 - 1
DEL
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DEL
3 - 0
CLO
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GIO
0 - 1
DEL
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
DEL
2 - 1
ACE
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |