Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
40
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 1
CRW
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 1
OMA
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 4
OMA
21%
23%
56%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
18%
25%
58%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
OMA
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
60%
21%
18%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
FMA
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
18%
25%
58%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
TOR
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |