Union Omaha vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
4º
1º
40
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 1
CRW
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
GTR
0 - 1
OMA
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
LSC
2 - 4
OMA
20%
23%
58%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
OMA
20%
24%
55%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
FMA
33%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 0
OMA
17%
24%
59%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |