Union Neumünster vs TSB Flensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
49%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
1º
9º
4º
60
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
ITK
3 - 3
UNI
34%
22%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
UNI
4 - 0
LUB
65%
17%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 3
FRI
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
ALT
2 - 6
UNI
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 2
WEF
38%
23%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
TSB Flensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
FLE
4 - 2
HEI
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HUS
2 - 1
FLE
16%
18%
67%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 1
FLE
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 4
TOD
32%
22%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EIC
0 - 2
FLE
58%
19%
23%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |