Unión Mar del Plata vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
UNI
32%
27%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIP
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 2
DES
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 2
UNI
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
DES
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 0
GIM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 1
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
GBR
2 - 1
RIV
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
GBR
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |