Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
QUI
2 - 0
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
UNI
5 - 1
AFC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
RSC
1 - 1
UNI
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 1
RSC
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
UNI
15%
22%
63%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
HUI
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 0
FOR
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 3
COR
35%
24%
41%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
COR
0 - 1
FOR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
LEO
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |