Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
PAS
3 - 0
UNI
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
BUC
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
JUN
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
UNI
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 4
PAS
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
BUC
1 - 1
FOR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
QUI
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAT
34%
27%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |