UFC Hallein vs Thalgau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
17.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
3º
31
6º
16º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 79 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 73 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 41 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 39 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 36 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 35 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 31 |
14º
|
41% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 29 |
15º
|
64.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UFC Hallein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
0 - 2
UNI
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 1
SKA
91%
7%
2%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
5 - 1
ANI
51%
20%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
STR
67%
17%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
UNI
33%
23%
45%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Thalgau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 3
ANI
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
UFV
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
UFV
2 - 0
BRA
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 1
SAL
42%
22%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SIE
0 - 4
UFV
43%
22%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |