Union Gamlitz vs SV Tillmitsch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
16º
8º
51
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 61 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
5º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 40 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 39 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 37 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
77.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 3 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 1
UGA
49%
20%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FKG
2 - 8
UGA
12%
14%
74%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 3
UGA
48%
20%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
UGA
3 - 1
TSH
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SVF
2 - 3
UGA
14%
18%
68%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SV Tillmitsch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
SVT
3 - 1
FEH
28%
21%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
SVT
6 - 2
KAP
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 2
STU
7%
12%
80%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
SVT
0 - 4
LBN
6%
13%
81%
|
25 | 67 | 42 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
VOI
5 - 0
SVT
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |