Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 2
UNI
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2021 |
ACS
2 - 2
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
EVE
1 - 2
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
COL
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
1 - 1
CUR
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
IQU
0 - 1
UCO
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 0
HUA
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
UCO
1 - 1
SWA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ACS
2 - 2
UCO
39%
25%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |