Unión Española vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OHI
1 - 1
UNI
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
UNI
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 4
UCH
40%
25%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 0
IQU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
1 - 1
UNI
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 1
CUR
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
ULC
2 - 2
UCO
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
UCO
2 - 1
EVE
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 2
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |