Unión Española vs Unión La Calera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
16º
15º
22
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 59 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 56 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 52 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 40 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 33 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 25 |
16º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
0.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
37% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
62.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
UCH
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 2
COQ
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
OHI
1 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
CON
1 - 0
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2025 |
UNI
2 - 2
LIM
54%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
ULC
1 - 4
COQ
45%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
LIM
0 - 1
ULC
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
COQ
2 - 1
ULC
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
ULC
0 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |