Unión Española vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
EVE
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
IVT
2 - 2
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
COB
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 4
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
3 - 2
NUB
61%
22%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
0 - 3
BOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
1 - 1
VOL
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
1 - 2
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 0
SLO
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |