Unión Comercio vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
LLA
0 - 2
COM
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
COM
2 - 1
LOS
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SFC
0 - 1
COM
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
SCJ
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
AGP
2 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SCJ
3 - 2
AUR
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
3 - 3
UNI
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
LOS
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
FCS
0 - 2
AUR
41%
26%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 1
SRP
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |