Unión Comercial vs CD Rayo Carbayín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
UAS
1 - 2
UCO
27%
24%
49%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
1 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
UCO
11%
19%
70%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
7 - 0
GUI
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 2
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Rayo Carbayín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RAY
3 - 0
ARE
36%
24%
40%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 0
RAY
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
2 - 0
CAM
17%
21%
63%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LDV
4 - 1
RAY
53%
21%
26%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RAY
0 - 1
REA
33%
26%
40%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |