Union Carrascal vs Marianistas Amoros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CEP
1 - 4
UCA
21%
19%
60%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
3 - 2
LMJ
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
NUE
4 - 0
UCA
9%
14%
78%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
UCA
3 - 0
TDC
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ATZ
1 - 4
UCA
6%
12%
82%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Marianistas Amoros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
MAA
2 - 1
FOB
71%
15%
14%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MAA
4 - 3
CEP
81%
11%
8%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LMJ
1 - 2
MAA
20%
21%
59%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MAA
3 - 0
NUE
91%
6%
3%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
TDC
1 - 4
MAA
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |