Union Campestre vs Hercules SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
37.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+184%
-95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UCA
0 - 1
OBR
38%
22%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
UCA
2 - 5
SUE
36%
23%
42%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
2 - 3
UCA
62%
19%
19%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
UCA
0 - 0
PAS
49%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
UCA
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
0 - 3
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
HER
38%
22%
39%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
LAR
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
HER
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
HER
2 - 4
MAR
37%
23%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |