Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Unión La Calera vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
EVE
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CSL
1 - 0
ULC
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
ULC
0 - 0
UCH
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
ULC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 1
ULC
46%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ANT
1 - 2
UCO
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UCH
1 - 1
UCO
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 0
EVE
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 1
COQ
70%
18%
11%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
UCO
3 - 1
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |