Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 1-1
Unión La Calera vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión La Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 2
UNI
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
IQU
1 - 0
ULC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ULC
1 - 1
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ULC
2 - 0
OHI
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ACS
1 - 1
ULC
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLA
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 2
PAL
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ATM
27%
25%
49%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 2
ATM
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |