Union Bremen vs Geestemünde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
54.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
12º
8º
60
1º
14º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
11º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 7 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SVH
5 - 2
UNI
87%
9%
5%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
EHB
57%
19%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TRB
2 - 4
UNI
36%
21%
43%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 4
BRI
49%
20%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 6
UNI
33%
21%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Geestemünde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GEE
3 - 3
WER
76%
14%
11%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
HAB
3 - 6
GEE
18%
17%
65%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
2 - 4
OSC
50%
21%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAT
0 - 4
GEE
14%
16%
71%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GEE
4 - 0
BTN
60%
19%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |