Union Berlin II vs Lichterfelder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 2
NEU
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 2
VIK
74%
16%
10%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 3
ANK
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
4 - 0
BSC
81%
12%
6%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lichterfelder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GSC
3 - 1
LIC
71%
18%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
BFC
1 - 0
LIC
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MAL
4 - 1
LIC
68%
19%
14%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
LIC
1 - 4
NEU
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
3 - 2
LIC
83%
12%
6%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |