Unidos do Alvorada vs Sul América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unidos do Alvorada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UDA
0 - 1
PFC
52%
21%
28%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
PFC
1 - 2
UDA
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUL
1 - 7
UDA
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
UDA
10 - 2
MAN
47%
22%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
UDA
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sul América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUL
1 - 7
UDA
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 4
SUL
14%
16%
70%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SUL
2 - 1
TAR
82%
12%
7%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
PFC
7 - 0
SUL
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 2
SUL
33%
22%
46%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |