União São João vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
8 - 3
UNI
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 5
MOG
41%
24%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 3
UNI
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 2
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ITU
2 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAU
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAU
3 - 3
OES
67%
19%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAU
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
PAU
2 - 1
ITU
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |